Saturday, November 1, 2008

3 Days to Go - Presidential Race Tightening



Conventional wisdom tells us that the in-office party always pays the price for economic calamity, whether warranted or not. Let's leave the discussion of the Democratic complicity in the financial crisis for another time and simply posit its validity as an assumption. To the extent that this holds true, the Democratic candidate, it would seem, should be showing a wide lead. This just hasn't happened. In fact, the polls (which The View loves to vilify) are showing a tightening race, only three days before the election.

As picked up by early-riser EaBo Clipper in RED MASS Group, the Reuters/C-Span/Zogby Poll is showing an interesting trend. According to pollster John Zogby:

"Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain out polled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all. "Obama's lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on."

Now, more than ever, we must commit to get to the polls on Tuesday, and bring at least one friend.

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